tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20385137.post4140416232956474316..comments2023-11-02T04:21:10.340-04:00Comments on The way the Ball bounces: Why Has Romney Been Surging?BallBounceshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08776039024486455199noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20385137.post-10254386921838722592012-10-29T23:41:27.915-04:002012-10-29T23:41:27.915-04:00Perhaps the media is preparing for "accountab...Perhaps the media is preparing for "accountability day", when the voters demonstrate that most of the polls have been nothing but nonsense and wish fulfillment.<br /><br />Voters who are concerned about the economy, angry over high food and fuel prices or confounded by the unfolding story of the murder of Ambassador Stevens are going to vote in huge numbers for Governor Romney. Pols which oversample Democrats by +3 or more, which make assumptions of voter turnout based on 2008 rather than 2010 or use ridiculously small sample sizes will be shown to be i error, and anyone who runs polls like this close to election day will have their reputations damaged.<br /><br />So slowly adjusting the polls by factoring out oversampling and unreasonable turnout models will allow the media to claim legitimacy again.Thucydideshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09828932214842106266noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20385137.post-2951406373635156302012-10-29T06:14:36.483-04:002012-10-29T06:14:36.483-04:00Dude, where in this post did I say I thought he wa...Dude, where in this post did I say I thought he was going to win?<br /><br />Let's make it official.BallBounceshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08776039024486455199noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20385137.post-21213741695668224992012-10-28T20:38:27.169-04:002012-10-28T20:38:27.169-04:00If you think he's going to win, care to put so...If you think he's going to win, care to put some money on it? Let's make it official.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com